Our Business

We’re a quantitative analytics firm focused on asset, deal, and portfolio valuation in energy and commodities.

We work with deal teams, portfolio managers, and executives to quantify value, manage risk, and justify major decisions.

No black boxes. No guesswork. Just clear, audit-quality analysis backed by evidence.

We are the first dedicated quantitative analytics-as-a-service provider in energy and commodity trading.

Three core capabilities:

• Custom Models – valuation frameworks for complex deals and assets
• Quantitative Analytics – numerical valuations, risk analysis, scenario modelling
• Strategic Advisory – board-level reports and investment decision support

Getting the numbers right on complex energy and commodity assets is critical. It can make or break deals and trading businesses.

Whether it’s valuing embedded options, managing tail risks, or optimising contract terms, getting it wrong leads to lost deals, missed opportunities, and unexpected risk-shocks.

Effective quantitative analytics requires specialist skills and resources, and most companies are underresourced or underskilled for this kind of work.

We’re experts in the true drivers of value and risk: extrinsic value, optionality, volatility, correlation, and spread dynamics.

These components often define outcomes in trading assets, deals and portfolios.

We’ve sat on deal desks. Led analytics teams. Built the models. Faced investment committees.

We know what gets approved and the evidence required to back it up. Now we’re delivering that capability as a service.

We build custom models and deliver analysis that can stand up to executive, audit, and board-level review.

Every project has clear scope and timeline, proven frameworks, and clear deliverables.

We’re your on-call quantitative partner, giving you the ability to scale up and upskill during critical periods, major investment decisions, or when upgrading modelling and analytics capabilities.

Founded by Martin Ogden with 20+ years heading up quantitative analytics and structuring at global energy firms. He’s sat on deal desks, led analytics teams, built the models, and faced investment committees.

Martin setup and ran the LNG and front office analytics business at Lacima Group, headed global front office and risk engineering at Noble Group, and traded and structured deals at BG Group.

He’s a recognised industry expert who designed breakthrough methods in valuing LNG flex, speaks at major industry conferences and is published in leading journals, such as Energy Risk.

Our team includes specialists in:

• Trading and structuring – real market experience across LNG, gas, power, and commodities
• Quantitative finance – advanced modelling and risk management techniques
• Technology and programming – building robust, scalable analytics models

The team has led analytics at global trading firms, developed frameworks across energy and commodity markets, and worked on deals from storage assets to long-term offtakes.

We work with teams who need to understand the value and risk of what they hold or what they’re about to sign.

This includes LNG, gas, power, oil, and shipping desks, along with traders, structurers, strategy teams, and executives at producers, portfolio managers, asset owners, and trading entities.

Whether it’s a single deal or a whole book, we help quantify what matters.